John Seminara 3/13/14
Earth Science Current Event
Financial Freeze: Winter Woes Cost
the Economy $15 Billion
Works Cited:
Schoen,
John W. "Financial Freeze: Winter Woes Cost the Economy $15 Billion."
NBC News. N.p., n.d. Web. 13 Mar. 2014.
<http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/deep-freeze/financial-freeze-winter-woes-cost-economy-15-billion-n29781>.
The article
that I decided to read was entitled, Financial
Freeze: Winter Woes Cost the Economy $15 Billion, and it was written by
John W. Schoen, a reliable reporter on the internet who has been reporting and
writing articles on finance, economics, and business for over 30 years. His
article ultimately explains the significance of winter weather and what kind of
implications that it has on the economy and the consumer market. This winter
alone about 10-20 winter storms have blasted the U.S proving to take a huge
financial toll. Subsequently, these storms have taken more than $15 billion
from businesses across the U.S, according to one of the author’s sources. Some
examples of where the economy got hit the hardest are evident in lighter retail
sales, property and crop damages, and lastly lost productivity at work.
Although the $15 billion seems as if it could truly affect the U.S economy even
in the long run, economists estimate that sales will pick up once temperatures
are restored to their usual standards, allowing the lasting impacts of the
winter’s sales to be minimal. Nevertheless the short-term impacts are still
prevalent. Car dealerships, for example, have been severely damaged as
dangerous weather conditions and blistering snowstorms encouraged potential
buyers to advance away from the dealerships. In one month alone during winter,
car sales dropped 2.1%, or $1.7 billion. These potential buyers would likely
return once the polar vortex had let loose its grip over the U.S. However, it
is not common that all buyers would return once the weather lets up. According
to Evan Gold, a tracker of the economic impacts of weather for Planalytics, “
You don’t go out and buy three dinners the next time you go out to a
restraint.” This quote demonstrates the significance of the loses that the
weather has brought upon some businesses; especially consumer related ones such
as retail stores and restraints. It is estimated that this winter’s storms have
affected over 100 million people, and that 10% of all lost business could
possibly be gone for good. In addition, the horrible weather has made it
difficult for economic forecasters to assess if retail sales are merely
plummeting as a result of the extremely low temperatures or if it is a
long-term sign. Transportation in particular has taken an enormous hit, as
terrible road conditions and stalling shipments of finished goods or raw materials
have impacted thousands of businesses and may have caused them to have a
decrease in sales due to a lack of inventory that couldn’t arrive due to
weather. Interestingly, this fact in particular is relatable for me since I
couldn’t buy a Ps4 for about a month during January due to shipments being
halted from bad weather. Nevertheless, it is also interesting to look into
flight delays which have been caused as a result of the horrid weather
conditions, and that have caused airlines more than $150 million along with
passengers spending about $2.5 billion due to the delays or cancellations. U.S
airlines cancelled 49,000 flights and delayed another 300,000 in only February.
I found this point to also be very interesting since one of my flights was
delayed for 12 hours due to a winter storm crossing over the northeast in
January. Lastly, even though generally people were negatively affected by the
winter storms, there were some winners from the winter that include landscapers
earning extra money plowing driveways. It is because of aspects of the economy
similar to this that the net long-term economic impact of severe winter weather
typically amounts to almost nothing to the U.S economy, because much of the
money not spent on some businesses gets pumped back into the economy through
others. Additionally, frozen pipes, downed trees, and car incidents led to a
significant amount of loses as well. For example, a single storm in February
caused about $690 million worth of insured loses and $1.3 billion in economic
losses. It is interesting to see how the winter weather even went as far as to
impact insurance agencies. Thus, it is pretty clear that the weather and its
effects on the economy had many implications on society all throughout the U.S.
Many small businesses had significant reductions in sales throughout the
winter, and some farms have taken devastating hits from the cold temperatures,
that left permanent inflictions on this year’s harvests for many farmers.
Everyone from passengers on airlines to people simply trying to go out to
purchase dinner has been impacted by the winter weather that ultimately led to
economic strains that also impacts millions of people. Therefore, it is clear
that the economic strains caused by winter weather are wide-ranging and have the
capability of impacting so many people from the west coast all the way towards
the east coast and even the south, where they lack the necessary infrastructure
to respond quickly to large winter storms, which could have eventually led to
prolonged impacts on businesses.
Aside from
the summary of the article and how the weather and the economy have impacted
millions of people across the U.S, there are many aspects of the article, which
I think that the author could have improved. This is demonstrated by his lack
of evidence to support certain statements about the weather impacting transportation
by means of trains or buses. It would have been an interesting thing to add if
he had noted some of the statistics of what kind of net loses there were for
some of these transportation businesses as a consequence of the winter weather
besides airline travel. Also, I think that the author should have implemented a
segment into his article that talked about how this winter overall compares to
past winters and what the economic effects were like in previously harsh
winters. Although, I did like that he added a part about one storm in 1993 that
had one of the largest impacts recording almost $5 billion in total losses from
that one particular storm. I thought that this author was very unbiased and
didn’t state his opinion as much as he relied on facts to describe the impacts
of winter on the economy. I also was intrigued by his enrollment of other
specialists into the article, which proved the article to be more reliable by
including multiple sources for his information. Lastly, I also think that the
author could have added more information about the impacts of the cold
temperatures on propane prices since many people use propane as a source for
heating their homes and because the winter has been so harsh the prices have
risen significantly, apparently. Yet, this article was most fascinating because
I was able to relate to a couple of the ways that weather has impacted people
and their potential business with stores, travel, etc… Overall, it was a great article.
John, this was an interesting article and you did a nice job summarizing and critiquing it.
ReplyDeleteSome feed back for you:
Your paragraphs are way too long. Please break them up and organize them by thesis statements. For example, you could have had one paragraph on the negative impacts of the harsh winter, and another on why the overall economy won't be that affected.
Also, to be fair, this wasn't really a science article so much as a financial/business article. Obviously weather itself is a topic of science, but this article was more about the financial and business effects and did little to look at the actual science behind it.
Next time try to find a more science-based article. Some questions to research that could lead to a more scientific report:
Was our particularly harsh winter this year due in any way to climate change? What are the historic patterns of snowfall and cold spells for the northeast and how does this winter fit (or not fit) with the overall trends for this region?
What causes a "polar vortex"? I had never heard this term before this winter. Is this something made-up by the media, or a real scientific phenomenon?